Living in one of the best, most stable communities helped us maintain high home prices which appreciated immensely during the last 30 years. We did have some dips during that time but generally our homes appreciated about 5 times over, (milk, bread, fruit and vegetables hardly doubled in price). Very few homes get sold here. People prefer to stay put.
The easy access to shops, I-280 and I-85, the proximity to Cupertino, Los Altos or Palo Alto schools makes it ideal neighborhoods to live in. South Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Los Altos, Palo Alto and the good parts of Mountain View maintained high prices. A 3-bedroom ranch-style house in the South Sunnyvale, priced at $950K was reduced in price after a week to $908K and attracted 4 offers to raise the price to above $910k. Generally, in these desired areas the prices are about 20% lower than the peak time on March 2008. Back then, a 3 bedroom ranch style home was priced at $975K and after reviewing 11 offers sold for $1.109M. Invested funds lost many times more than 20%.
The banks’ new guidelines are very strict - they demand higher down payments and better credit. The new limit for Conforming loan starting January 2009 is $625,500. Buyers will have to pay a higher down payment or get a second loan. The underwriters who decide if you can get a loan and on what terms, expect a fully documented file. Stated income (in which you would state that you earn a certain amount without proving it) is gone. Many foreign families from overseas go back home to their native land. Most of them lived in rental homes so it didn’t affect the prices much. The banks are getting more organized and more in control of the situation but a new wave of layoffs is arriving and we all hope that the employment market stabilizes.

QUICK UPDATE:

The units sold in October 2008 v. October 2007 were up 57%. Most of that activity happened in homes under $500k, short sales and REO (Real Estate Owned by the bank after foreclosure or how you would want to call it “Real estate Opportunity”) In addition, the 1 million plus range seems to be moving better than the deep-freeze we were in from October 10 to the end of October. During the last 5 weeks buyers are buying 1 million dollar plus homes at a faster rate than in September - October. It’s a great opportunity to upgrade from smaller homes which lost relatively less to larger, more expensive home.

WHAT IT TAKES TO SELL IN THIS MARKET:

Price and condition of the home become even more critical than in the past. Homes that are still selling are either priced more aggressively or upgraded and in good Condition. The homes that are priced well and remodeled are attracting the most attention and getting sold faster.

Of course location is of utmost importance. Being in a good school area improves the saleability of the house immensely.

WHO IS BUYING TODAY?

Relocation Folks; First Time Homebuyers; Investors in anticipation for appreciation for under 400K market; Move-up Buyers making a lateral move; Folks that have been sitting on the sidelines for a few years; Folks at all price points that have been pushed out of the market by multiple offers over the last 4-5 years

Investors:

If you are planning to buy a short sale, check with your real estate lawyer. There are too many law suits going around due to innocent mistakes or not knowing the laws and regulations.

QUICK RATE UPDATE: please note, the actual rate that you can get depends on your credit history and down payment amount.

30 Year Conventional 6.000% @ 0 pts up to $417,000

30 Yr Agency Jumbo 6.375% @ 0 pts up to $729,750

5/1 ARM Super Jumbo 6.125% @ 0 pts up to $4M

To determine where home prices are expected to rise most in the next couple of years,  Forbes.com   looked at projections for housing starts from the National Association of Home Builders and job-growth projections from Moody’s Economy.com.

Forbes identified cities that are likely to be vibrant markets because jobs are increasing and the housing market wasn’t overbuilt during the boom.”The logic is pretty straightforward,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “People will spend as much on housing as their income will allow them. House prices are very closely tied to household income over the long run when you look at business cycles.

According to Forbes, these are the 10 cities where home prices are most likely to rise:  Albuquerque, Charlotte, N.C.  San Antonio, Texas, Portland, Austin, Texas, Salt Lake City, Utah,  Colorado Springs, Colorado. Minneapolis, Atlanta, Oklahoma City

Source: Forbes.com, Matt Woolsey (08/25/2008)

This sounds great if you were to move there and buy your own home. However, if you are planing to invest in Real Estate in one of these attractive cities with hope for appreciation and good return on investment , by renting your property,  you should check who will live at your property. Can they afford to pay the rent? will they look after your property or trash it? If you have to vacate them and remodel the place every time you have a bad tenant you’ll end up loosing money.

Find a good property manager and be a part of decision making. If the applicants have judgments against them don’t rent your place to them, they will likely live in your place for free, and it will cost you a lot of aggravation and loss on income. It takes at least 2 months to evict the tenants, fix the place and rent it again. During that time you have to keep paying the mortgage, the insurance and taxes. Sometimes you have to hire a lawyer for about $200/hour.  As with every investment, it has it’s risks.