Living in one of the best, most stable communities helped us maintain high home prices which appreciated immensely during the last 30 years. We did have some dips during that time but generally our homes appreciated about 5 times over, (milk, bread, fruit and vegetables hardly doubled in price). Very few homes get sold here. People prefer to stay put.
The easy access to shops, I-280 and I-85, the proximity to Cupertino, Los Altos or Palo Alto schools makes it ideal neighborhoods to live in. South Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Los Altos, Palo Alto and the good parts of Mountain View maintained high prices. A 3-bedroom ranch-style house in the South Sunnyvale, priced at $950K was reduced in price after a week to $908K and attracted 4 offers to raise the price to above $910k. Generally, in these desired areas the prices are about 20% lower than the peak time on March 2008. Back then, a 3 bedroom ranch style home was priced at $975K and after reviewing 11 offers sold for $1.109M. Invested funds lost many times more than 20%.
The banks’ new guidelines are very strict - they demand higher down payments and better credit. The new limit for Conforming loan starting January 2009 is $625,500. Buyers will have to pay a higher down payment or get a second loan. The underwriters who decide if you can get a loan and on what terms, expect a fully documented file. Stated income (in which you would state that you earn a certain amount without proving it) is gone. Many foreign families from overseas go back home to their native land. Most of them lived in rental homes so it didn’t affect the prices much. The banks are getting more organized and more in control of the situation but a new wave of layoffs is arriving and we all hope that the employment market stabilizes.

The world economy is shaky; the Dow Jones Index lost 504 points in one day, and looking at the candidates to lead the most important country in the world is not encouraging. The papers predict a grim economic future; prices are dropping in most of the U.S. People are having a hard time getting loans and banks continue to ask for more proof of work verification and available funds to close the deal. It all sounds so depressing, so how come housing prices in our area are still holding strong? I still see multiple offers. So many people check the open homes during the weekend and show real interest. Two weeks ago a 3br 1525 s.f. house was sold in Sunnyvale, in the Santa Clara school district; just on the East side of Wolfe. It was sold for $82k over asking price. It was not significantly improved (an Ikea kitchen with Formicas counter tops and bathrooms with vinyl floors) but the sellers removed some walls and the yard was very pretty and spacious. A 3 br town house in Sunnyvale, just north of Fremont Ave near Mary Ave was sold with 4 offers over asking price and a similar one was sold for a higher price with 2 offers.
The prices in the Cupertino school district area have not increased since the crazier period in February-March this year when people offered 10-15% more than asking price. Now they either negotiate around asking price, or if there is competition (Yes, it still happens) they add 1-3%. If you compare today’s sold prices to what was sold in March 2008 the prices have decreased.
As of today there are 75 homes for sale in Palo Alto - the most expensive priced at $29,850,000, which has been on the market for 381 days. The cheapest house in Palo Alto is priced at $799,950.
Los Altos and Los Altos hills have 114 homes for sale in. The longest listing time on the market at that area is 405 days.
Mountain View has 63 homes for sale in - the most expensive is $4.4M for a small house on a huge lot (40,386 s.f.). The longest listing time in MV is 97 days.
Sunnyvale has122 homes for sale in, with one home at 216 days on the market. There are only 14 homes for sale in Sunnyvale in Cupertino school district.
Cupertino has 106 homes for sale with one home on the market for 390 days (the sellers surprisingly raised the asking price). Out of these homes 84 homes belong to the Cupertino school District.
Saratoga has 128 homes for sale, the most expensive priced at $12M. One home has been on the market for 763 days, asking $6.6M.
The inventory is growing very slowly these days, as it does every autumn. September is the beginning of fall and most sellers prefer to sell in the spring. However, people still have to move or need to sell.
This graph represents the whole Santa Clara County. It shows how the inventory slows down and more homes get into contracts. Many foreclosures, short sales and REO are selling faster. Investors and home owners use the opportunity to own homes with relatively low prices. Please feel free to ask me if you are not familiar with any of the terms I used. I am always happy to hear from you.

We hear and read all these predictions and market analysis about the market in the Bay area and the U.S. Everyone claims to know what is going to happen and why.

Foreclosures and short sales are still here to stay for a while. There are still many homeowners who owe more money to a lender than the value of their home. Sometimes it is more than a $100,000 difference. Many home owners, in order to avoid an ugly stain on their credit history, try to sell their home in a “short sale”. They (or their agent) approach the lender who is willing to forgive some of their debt in order to cut his losses short. The lender might agree to get less money and avoid having to deal with foreclosure. There are many short sales everywhere. It’s a long, tedious process and if a buyer can cope with it he might get a house for a better price.

If you are looking for a house for your family in a good school area, namely Palo Alto, Los Altos, Cupertino, Saratoga and South Sunnyvale, you are in a totally different market. To my personal experience, all of the homes in the Cupertino school district that I submitted offers on or represented the seller within the last month had 4-7 offers and people offered up to 6% over asking price. Back in February – March of this year buyers offered 10-15% more than asking price to win a home. In Los Altos, a few days ago, a $2,395,000 house with 2294 S.f. was sold (all cash) for $50,000 over asking price. The asking prices remained the same. The difference is how much buyers are willing to pay over asking price. There are very few ’short sales’ in these areas because prices are holding strong.

There is a feeling in the air that the inflation is getting worse. Bernanke didn’t lower interest rates, and oil prices, food prices and everything else are getting more expensive. Mortgage interest rates are on the slow rise (1/2% last week and 1/8% yesterday and today it went down ¼%). You can expect either a rush to buy homes before interest rates rise even higher or buyers to be scared away because they cannot afford higher interest rates. It would be wise to watch the rates very carefully before locking the rates because they can change during the day.

I was having an email exchange with somebody about county taxes which are due in the next few days.

Here is what we talked about

Dear David

The seller pays his taxes according to the county assessed price. If it’s a house that was purchased 45 years ago for $28,000 (ha, ha,) her yearly payments should be around $600. Proposition 13 is protecting homeowners from a big raise in tax payments. Not more than 2% a year.

When you buy that same house for $1.1M (I am giving you an actual example from reality) your taxes will be about $13,200 a year. You would have to pay it in 2 installments one by December 10 and the other by April 10. $6600 each.

When you buy the house the county takes time to adjust the prices and you might benefit (temporarily) from that by paying what your seller paid, but be sure that the county will remember you and ask you to pay for the adjusted price. That would be the assessed price. They should send you a letter with the amount that you need to add on top of the original payment and probably let you pay it in 2 installments.
Have a great day!

Miri

—–Original Message—–
From: David

Thanks Miri for the answer. I should check this HUD-1 document.

What are the supplemental taxes? Aren’t they included in the Property tax?

Thanks,

David.

On 4/3/08, Miri Bialik <mbialik@interorealestate.com> wrote:

Hi David, if you just closed on the house there are 2 options:

1. The escrow company calculated your taxes and charged you through escrow and

you are good until November 2nd (becomes delinquent by December 10th)

2. The escrow company didn’t charge you but gave you credit for the time the

seller owned the house and it’s your responsibility to pay.

The answer will be in the HUD-1 document – the closing statement.

Most probably they have already charged you but it’s your responsibility to

make sure that you paid your taxes. The penalty for not paying on time is brutal.

———- Forwarded message ———-

From: David > Date: Thu, Apr 3, 2008 at 3:16 PM

Hi Miri,

Thanks for the information. If I start to own a house on Feb 29,2008

then when my property tax is due?

Thanks,

David

On 4/3/08, Miri Bialik <miri@miribialik.com> wrote:

Hi,

If you own Real estate property make sure you paid property taxes by 4/10/08.

Property taxes were due Feb 2nd and they become delinquent if the county

does not get them by 4/10/08. The penalty is painful.

Always at your service, Miri