The world economy is shaky; the Dow Jones Index lost 504 points in one day, and looking at the candidates to lead the most important country in the world is not encouraging. The papers predict a grim economic future; prices are dropping in most of the U.S. People are having a hard time getting loans and banks continue to ask for more proof of work verification and available funds to close the deal. It all sounds so depressing, so how come housing prices in our area are still holding strong? I still see multiple offers. So many people check the open homes during the weekend and show real interest. Two weeks ago a 3br 1525 s.f. house was sold in Sunnyvale, in the Santa Clara school district; just on the East side of Wolfe. It was sold for $82k over asking price. It was not significantly improved (an Ikea kitchen with Formicas counter tops and bathrooms with vinyl floors) but the sellers removed some walls and the yard was very pretty and spacious. A 3 br town house in Sunnyvale, just north of Fremont Ave near Mary Ave was sold with 4 offers over asking price and a similar one was sold for a higher price with 2 offers.
The prices in the Cupertino school district area have not increased since the crazier period in February-March this year when people offered 10-15% more than asking price. Now they either negotiate around asking price, or if there is competition (Yes, it still happens) they add 1-3%. If you compare today’s sold prices to what was sold in March 2008 the prices have decreased.
As of today there are 75 homes for sale in Palo Alto - the most expensive priced at $29,850,000, which has been on the market for 381 days. The cheapest house in Palo Alto is priced at $799,950.
Los Altos and Los Altos hills have 114 homes for sale in. The longest listing time on the market at that area is 405 days.
Mountain View has 63 homes for sale in - the most expensive is $4.4M for a small house on a huge lot (40,386 s.f.). The longest listing time in MV is 97 days.
Sunnyvale has122 homes for sale in, with one home at 216 days on the market. There are only 14 homes for sale in Sunnyvale in Cupertino school district.
Cupertino has 106 homes for sale with one home on the market for 390 days (the sellers surprisingly raised the asking price). Out of these homes 84 homes belong to the Cupertino school District.
Saratoga has 128 homes for sale, the most expensive priced at $12M. One home has been on the market for 763 days, asking $6.6M.
The inventory is growing very slowly these days, as it does every autumn. September is the beginning of fall and most sellers prefer to sell in the spring. However, people still have to move or need to sell.
This graph represents the whole Santa Clara County. It shows how the inventory slows down and more homes get into contracts. Many foreclosures, short sales and REO are selling faster. Investors and home owners use the opportunity to own homes with relatively low prices. Please feel free to ask me if you are not familiar with any of the terms I used. I am always happy to hear from you.

We hear and read all these predictions and market analysis about the market in the Bay area and the U.S. Everyone claims to know what is going to happen and why.

Foreclosures and short sales are still here to stay for a while. There are still many homeowners who owe more money to a lender than the value of their home. Sometimes it is more than a $100,000 difference. Many home owners, in order to avoid an ugly stain on their credit history, try to sell their home in a “short sale”. They (or their agent) approach the lender who is willing to forgive some of their debt in order to cut his losses short. The lender might agree to get less money and avoid having to deal with foreclosure. There are many short sales everywhere. It’s a long, tedious process and if a buyer can cope with it he might get a house for a better price.

If you are looking for a house for your family in a good school area, namely Palo Alto, Los Altos, Cupertino, Saratoga and South Sunnyvale, you are in a totally different market. To my personal experience, all of the homes in the Cupertino school district that I submitted offers on or represented the seller within the last month had 4-7 offers and people offered up to 6% over asking price. Back in February – March of this year buyers offered 10-15% more than asking price to win a home. In Los Altos, a few days ago, a $2,395,000 house with 2294 S.f. was sold (all cash) for $50,000 over asking price. The asking prices remained the same. The difference is how much buyers are willing to pay over asking price. There are very few ’short sales’ in these areas because prices are holding strong.

There is a feeling in the air that the inflation is getting worse. Bernanke didn’t lower interest rates, and oil prices, food prices and everything else are getting more expensive. Mortgage interest rates are on the slow rise (1/2% last week and 1/8% yesterday and today it went down ¼%). You can expect either a rush to buy homes before interest rates rise even higher or buyers to be scared away because they cannot afford higher interest rates. It would be wise to watch the rates very carefully before locking the rates because they can change during the day.

Take your typical 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch, in its original condition, clean it nicely and poof, like magic, you turn it into millions of dollars. It was purchased for $28,000 45 years ago. Back then it was expensive. The neighborhood was very quiet and modest, there were cherry and apricot orchards around, in the heart of the Silicon valley. Now the magic word is Cupertino schools. This is the melting pot of the world. Immigrant from India, China, Japan, France, Germany, Finland, Israel, Iran, and many other countries, come to live the American dream. They want to get education, freedom and money. They are willing to pay $140,000 above the asking price for this 1600 s.f. house that has $30,000 termite and foundation damages. Additional $50,000 might be enough for basic remodeling. Yes, you need at least $1,1M to own a modest house in Sunnyvale, Cupertino School District. Last week a nice ranch house was sold with 18 offers and this week a similar house got sold with only 7 offers but the end price was higher. How high can it go?

Can you imagine? In the midst of a market downturn, 15 prospective eligible buyers compete for one home (Carniel). Another home (Richelieu Ct.) was sold for almost $200k more than asking price (with 14 offers) last week. It happened last week in Saratoga. About 6 homes that were priced under $2m were sold for more than 10% over the asking price. Some of them got sold just before the end of the year and some are still in contracts. The rain did not scare buyers away. The same thing is happening in Cupertino, where 12 families competed on one home, and in South Sunnyvale, the Homestead High area, low-end homes in Los Altos (under $2M) and in Palo Alto.Inventory is growing slowly but so is activity.These examples are not valid for every market and definitely not for the entire Silicon Valley. Even in the most attractive market there are homes that are not selling. If they are priced too high, over the market value, they will take a long time to sell and the sellers will end up getting a much lower price when they finally sell. A few examples are a house near Montclaire Elementary School in Los Altos (a highly desirable area) which has been on the market for more than 52 days, and a small house with a huge lot near Nimitz Elementary School in Sunnyvale.Smart buyers are not afraid of looking again at the same homes and offering lower prices. Now is a good chance to get A good deal