QUICK UPDATE:

The units sold in October 2008 v. October 2007 were up 57%. Most of that activity happened in homes under $500k, short sales and REO (Real Estate Owned by the bank after foreclosure or how you would want to call it “Real estate Opportunity”) In addition, the 1 million plus range seems to be moving better than the deep-freeze we were in from October 10 to the end of October. During the last 5 weeks buyers are buying 1 million dollar plus homes at a faster rate than in September - October. It’s a great opportunity to upgrade from smaller homes which lost relatively less to larger, more expensive home.

WHAT IT TAKES TO SELL IN THIS MARKET:

Price and condition of the home become even more critical than in the past. Homes that are still selling are either priced more aggressively or upgraded and in good Condition. The homes that are priced well and remodeled are attracting the most attention and getting sold faster.

Of course location is of utmost importance. Being in a good school area improves the saleability of the house immensely.

WHO IS BUYING TODAY?

Relocation Folks; First Time Homebuyers; Investors in anticipation for appreciation for under 400K market; Move-up Buyers making a lateral move; Folks that have been sitting on the sidelines for a few years; Folks at all price points that have been pushed out of the market by multiple offers over the last 4-5 years

Investors:

If you are planning to buy a short sale, check with your real estate lawyer. There are too many law suits going around due to innocent mistakes or not knowing the laws and regulations.

QUICK RATE UPDATE: please note, the actual rate that you can get depends on your credit history and down payment amount.

30 Year Conventional 6.000% @ 0 pts up to $417,000

30 Yr Agency Jumbo 6.375% @ 0 pts up to $729,750

5/1 ARM Super Jumbo 6.125% @ 0 pts up to $4M

To determine where home prices are expected to rise most in the next couple of years,  Forbes.com   looked at projections for housing starts from the National Association of Home Builders and job-growth projections from Moody’s Economy.com.

Forbes identified cities that are likely to be vibrant markets because jobs are increasing and the housing market wasn’t overbuilt during the boom.”The logic is pretty straightforward,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “People will spend as much on housing as their income will allow them. House prices are very closely tied to household income over the long run when you look at business cycles.

According to Forbes, these are the 10 cities where home prices are most likely to rise:  Albuquerque, Charlotte, N.C.  San Antonio, Texas, Portland, Austin, Texas, Salt Lake City, Utah,  Colorado Springs, Colorado. Minneapolis, Atlanta, Oklahoma City

Source: Forbes.com, Matt Woolsey (08/25/2008)

This sounds great if you were to move there and buy your own home. However, if you are planing to invest in Real Estate in one of these attractive cities with hope for appreciation and good return on investment , by renting your property,  you should check who will live at your property. Can they afford to pay the rent? will they look after your property or trash it? If you have to vacate them and remodel the place every time you have a bad tenant you’ll end up loosing money.

Find a good property manager and be a part of decision making. If the applicants have judgments against them don’t rent your place to them, they will likely live in your place for free, and it will cost you a lot of aggravation and loss on income. It takes at least 2 months to evict the tenants, fix the place and rent it again. During that time you have to keep paying the mortgage, the insurance and taxes. Sometimes you have to hire a lawyer for about $200/hour.  As with every investment, it has it’s risks.

In California the Real Estate Broker is responsible for pre qualifying the buyers, finding a suitable house/property that will fit the needs and budget of the buyer, negotiate the best price and terms, write the contract which is the purchase agreement, coordinate with the lender to get the best loan, inspect and check the property with professional inspectors, follow up and make sure all needed work be completed as per the contract, pay attention to every detail and educate the buyers through the process, walk through the check the property before releasing the down payment funds, check the closing statement and follow up with the home warranty and advice for many years to come. For Sellers, the Broker has to help decide on a marketable price, help prepare the house like a bride for her wedding day, do all property inspections, help the seller fill up all the disclosures, market the house and advertise in all possible ways, hold open house every weekend until the house sells, show it whenever needed, help maintain the house clean and tidy, choose the best suitable buyer, negotiate the best price and terms, check the lender and follow-up with every step of the sale process, and the contract and help deliver the house clean and ready to the next owners.

There are many other roles a broker has that are not written, like staging, moving furniture around, decorate with fresh flower arrangements, and be a real friend.

With the new situation of the mortgage companies and banks that are going under, like Indibank this week and who knows who is next on the list, there is a feeling of uncertainty. Buyers are afraid to remove loan contingency because their lender might change terms at the last moment or even go under, leaving the buyers with no loan, risking their deposit check of 3% of the sale price, which is a considerable amount of money in our area. Until about 1985 the contract enabled the buyer to have loan contingency up to the final approval of the loan or the funding day. It is still the case in other states like Texas and Louisiana but not in the bay area. Here, the seller gets mad and asks the buyer what rights he has to expect the seller to hold his property off the market while he waits for his loan to get approved without jeopardizing his deposit check. Maybe it’s time to change this condition and give the anxious buyer some peace of mind.

The Real estate market is more balanced these days. There are more negotiations and less bidding wars. Some extraordinary homes still sell with multiple bids but most homes are being sold after a few weeks on the market and tight negotiations. Sellers still insist on their prices and buyers are more cautious. Many buyers wait to see what will happen with the banking industry, but others still buy homes especially in the preferred areas with the good schools.